FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Leeds1 - 1Plymouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Norwich
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Leeds United 3-1 Plymouth Argyle
While changes are expected from both sides, that should only add to the uncertainty of who prevails at Elland Road. Plymouth will back themselves to at least earn a replay, but Leeds should still have enough quality to come through regardless of the team that they select. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 68.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
68.52% ( 0.62) | 17.84% ( -0.25) | 13.64% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
