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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Watford |
31.65% ( 0.09) | 26.82% ( -0.01) | 41.53% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.62% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.64% ( 0.05) | 54.36% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.26% ( 0.04) | 75.74% ( -0.04) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.23% ( 0.09) | 31.77% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.8% ( 0.1) | 68.2% ( -0.1) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.19% ( -0.02) | 25.81% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.23% ( -0.02) | 60.77% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.65% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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