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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Millwall logo

Southampton
1 - 2
Millwall

Adams (34')
Stephens (43'), Edozie (84'), Harwood-Bellis (90+5'), Walker-Peters (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tanganga (5'), Flemming (44' pen.)
Honeyman (8'), Tanganga (13'), Sarkic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Hull City
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 3-0 Millwall

With Millwall starting a new phase another a different manager, they may play with a sense of freedom at St Mary's. Nevertheless, this is the ideal fixture for the Saints to get back on track, and it leads us to predict a dominant win for Martin's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw has a probability of 19.4% and a win for Millwall has a probability of 14.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Millwall win it is 0-1 (4.27%).

Result
SouthamptonDrawMillwall
66.25% (0.52800000000001 0.53) 19.38% (-0.236 -0.24) 14.35% (-0.294 -0.29)
Both teams to score 51.91% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41% (0.46 0.46)41.59% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01% (0.465 0.46)63.99% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.3% (0.279 0.28)11.69% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.21% (0.596 0.6)36.78% (-0.597 -0.6)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.78% (-0.121 -0.12)41.21% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.25% (-0.105 -0.11)77.74% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 66.25%
    Millwall 14.36%
    Draw 19.38%
SouthamptonDrawMillwall
2-0 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.94% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.065 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.26% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.78% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.062 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 66.25%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.38%
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.06% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 14.36%

How you voted: Southampton vs Millwall

Southampton
80.0%
Draw
12.0%
Millwall
8.0%
50
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Millwall
0-1
Southampton

Wallace (55'), Longman (70')
Fraser (90+3')
Downes (75'), Bednarek (90+1')
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Millwall
0-2
Southampton

Briggs (36')
Cork (52'), Pelle (93')
Pelle (84'), Targett (89')
Mar 17, 2012 3pm
Millwall
2-3
Southampton
Robinson (28')
Kane (88'), Henry (89')
Lambert (16', 85', 88')
Aug 20, 2011 3pm
Jan 16, 2010 3pm
Millwall
1-1
Southampton
Trotter (90')
Robinson (11')
Lambert (90')
Seaborne (72'), Fonte (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City441912136556969
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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