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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Millwall logo

Hull City
1 - 0
Millwall

Philogene-Bidace (5', 5')
Philogene-Bidace (44'), Morton (51'), Carvalho (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Wallace (48'), De Norre (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hull City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hull City.

Result
Hull CityDrawMillwall
45.62% (0.839 0.84)26.18% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)28.2% (-0.795 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.84% (-0.351 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.74% (-0.221 -0.22)53.25% (0.218 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (-0.187 -0.19)74.81% (0.185 0.19)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (0.30200000000001 0.3)23.29% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.78% (0.439 0.44)57.22% (-0.44 -0.44)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (-0.72199999999999 -0.72)33.73% (0.72 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (-0.793 -0.79)70.39% (0.791 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 45.62%
    Millwall 28.2%
    Draw 26.18%
Hull CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.44% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.34% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 45.62%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.54% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.2%

How you voted: Hull City vs Millwall

Hull City
60.9%
Draw
19.6%
Millwall
19.6%
46
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Millwall
2-2
Hull City
Watmore (8'), Bryan (54')
McNamara (9'), Harding (36'), De Norre (52'), Bryan (90+1')
Philogene-Bidace (25'), Traore (30')
Allsop (51'), Connolly (72')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Hull City
1-0
Millwall
Traore (70')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Millwall
2-1
Hull City
Malone (51'), Bradshaw (55')
Ballard (16'), Bialkowski (87')
Eaves (87')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Hull City
2-1
Millwall
Honeyman (29'), Longman (54')
Smallwood (40'), Eaves (89')
Bradshaw (45+1')
McNamara (63'), Afobe (89')