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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Hawthorns
Southampton logo

West Brom
0 - 2
Southampton


Thomas-Asante (44'), Yokuslu (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fraser (14'), Brooks (73')
Smallbone (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSouthampton
42.27% (0.39 0.39)23.73% (-0.163 -0.16)34% (-0.227 -0.23)
Both teams to score 61.9% (0.539 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.93% (0.72799999999999 0.73)40.06% (-0.728 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.57% (0.749 0.75)62.43% (-0.75 -0.75)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (0.47399999999999 0.47)19.27% (-0.475 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (0.774 0.77)51% (-0.773 -0.77)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.21599999999999 0.22)23.32% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (0.312 0.31)57.28% (-0.311 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 42.27%
    Southampton 34%
    Draw 23.73%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.055 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 42.27%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.46% (0.057 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 34%

How you voted: West Brom vs Southampton

West Bromwich Albion
34.1%
Draw
27.6%
Southampton
38.2%
123
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Southampton
2-1
West Brom
Smallbone (5'), Armstrong (79')
Downes (36'), Martin (37'), Holgate (43'), Alcaraz (86')
Bartley (65')
Apr 12, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 31
West Brom
3-0
Southampton
Pereira (32' pen.), Phillips (35'), Robinson (69')
Oct 4, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 4
Southampton
2-0
West Brom
Djenepo (41'), Romeu (69')
Djenepo (50'), Walker-Peters (53')

Livermore (26')
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Fifth Round
West Brom
1-2
Southampton
Rondon (58')
Krychowiak (30'), McClean (42')
Hoedt (11'), Tadic (56')
Carrillo (45'), Lemina (75')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
West Brom
2-3
Southampton
Hegazi (4'), Rondon (72')
Barry (22'), Phillips (92')
Lemina (40'), Stephens (43'), Ward-Prowse (55')
Bertrand (92')