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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Southampton logo

Bristol City
3 - 1
Southampton

Bell (52'), Dickie (72'), Cornick (82')
Vyner (65'), Williams (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armstrong (90+5' pen.)
Fraser (90+2'), Deen Sulemana (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Bristol City win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSouthampton
19.64% (-0.206 -0.21)21.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)58.99% (0.188 0.19)
Both teams to score 56.54% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (-0.386 -0.39)41.04% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.57% (-0.396 -0.4)63.43% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44% (-0.42999999999999 -0.43)34.56% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (-0.461 -0.46)71.28% (0.462 0.46)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)13.59% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.27% (-0.138 -0.14)40.73% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 19.64%
    Southampton 58.99%
    Draw 21.36%
Bristol CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 5.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.99% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.64%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 9.36% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 6.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.22% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.1% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 58.99%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Southampton

Bristol City
19.8%
Draw
17.9%
Southampton
62.3%
106
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Southampton
1-0
Bristol City
Walker-Peters (47')
Armstrong (6'), Walker-Peters (15'), Manning (45+2')

Vyner (85')
Sep 24, 2013 7.45pm
Round Three
Southampton
2-0
Bristol City
Ramirez (15'), Hooiveld (83')
Hooiveld (12')
Dec 30, 2011 9.53pm
Southampton
0-1
Bristol City

Schneiderlin (65'), Fox (90')
Pearson (79')
Carey (34'), Wilson (61'), Pearson (69'), James (90'), Maynard (90')
Nov 26, 2011 3pm
Feb 14, 2009 3pm
Bristol City
2-0
Southampton
Adebola (34'), Sproule (90')
Fontaine (56'), Orr (86'), Williams (89')

Skacel (15'), Surman (50'), Schneiderlin (62')
rhs 2.0


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