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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Bristol City win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Southampton |
| 19.64% ( | 21.36% ( | 58.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.96% ( | 41.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.57% ( | 63.43% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% ( | 34.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.72% ( | 71.28% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.4% ( | 13.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.27% ( | 40.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 5.29% ( 1-0 @ 4.99% ( 2-0 @ 2.65% ( 3-1 @ 1.87% ( 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 3-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.64% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0-2 @ 9.36% ( 1-3 @ 6.61% ( 0-3 @ 6.22% ( 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 1-4 @ 3.3% ( 0-4 @ 3.1% ( 2-4 @ 1.75% ( 1-5 @ 1.32% ( 0-5 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 58.99% |