Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.