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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 45.76% | 25.48% | 28.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.86% | 50.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.89% | 72.11% ( |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% | 21.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.84% | 55.17% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( | 31.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.91% ( | 68.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.75% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.76% |