Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.