Championship

Championship | Gameweek 35

Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
3 - 4
Southampton

Miyoshi (2'), Stansfield (41'), Bacuna (77')
Miyoshi (24'), Sunjic (87'), Laird (88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Armstrong (18'), Brooks (55'), Adams (59'), Aribo (90+6')
Smallbone (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Ipswich 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Southampton
Wednesday, February 28 at 8pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Southampton
31.87% ( -0.3)	24.6% ( -0.01)	43.53% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 57.99% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.15% (

-0.07)

44.85% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.79% (

-0.06)

67.21% (

0.06)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.12% (

-0.22)

26.88% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.81% (

-0.29)

62.19% (

0.29)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3% (

0.11)

20.7% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.7% (

0.18)

53.3% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 31.87%

Southampton 43.53%

Draw 24.59%

Birmingham City	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 31.87%	1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.53%