FA Cup

FA Cup | Fifth Round

Feb 28, 2024 at 8pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
3 - 0
Southampton

Koumas (44'), Danns (73', 88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Manning (79')

Reaction

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp reacts on February 25, 2024

Jurgen Klopp compares Liverpool's young stars to Luke Littler

Jurgen Klopp compares Liverpool duo Jayden Danns and Lewis Koumas to darts sensation Luke Littler following their FA Cup heroics in the Reds' 3-0 win over Southampton.

Feb 29, 08:29

Liverpool's Lewis Koumas celebrates scoring their first goal with Harvey Elliott on February 28, 2024

Liverpool youngsters accomplish new all-time club feat in Southampton win

Liverpool youngsters Lewis Koumas and Jayden Danns create history, as two players aged 18 or under score in a senior fixture for the first time in the club's history.

Feb 28, 22:45

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, February 25 at 3pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.85%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.82%) and 1-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Southampton
52.85% ( -2.36)	21.38% ( 0.78)	25.76% ( 1.58)

Both teams to score 65.06% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.37% (

-2.22)

33.62% (

2.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.56% (

-2.57)

55.43% (

2.56)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87% (

-1.42)

12.99% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.49% (

-2.98)

39.5% (

2.97)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77% (

-0.08)

25.22% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.03% (

-0.11)

59.96% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Liverpool 52.85%

Southampton 25.76%

Draw 21.38%

Liverpool	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.36) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.25) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.23) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.16) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.37% Total : 52.85%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.37) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.38%	1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.37) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.5) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.02% 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.46% Total : 25.76%