FA Cup
Liverpool
Feb 28, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
Southampton
  • Lewis Koumas 44' goal
  • Jayden Danns 73' goal
  • Jayden Danns 88' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Manning 79'

Liverpool vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Southampton

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.85%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.82%) and 1-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result

Liverpool 52.85% ▼ (-2.37)
Draw 21.38% ▲ (+0.79)
Southampton 25.76% ▲ (+1.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.06% ▼ (-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.37% ▼ (-2.22)
Under 2.5 33.62% ▲ (+2.22)
Over 3.5 44.56% ▼ (-2.57)
Under 3.5 55.43% ▲ (+2.57)
Over 4.5 25.92% ▼ (-2.24)
Under 4.5 74.07% ▲ (+2.23)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 87% ▼ (-1.43)
Under 0.5 12.99% ▲ (+1.42)
Over 1.5 60.49% ▼ (-2.98)
Under 1.5 39.5% ▲ (+2.98)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 74.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 25.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 40.03% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 59.96% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Liverpool 52.85%
Draw 21.38%
Southampton 25.76%
Liverpool
2-1 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.42)
3-1 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.33)
3-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.24)
4-1 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.36)
4-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.26)
4-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.26)
5-1 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.23)
4-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 52.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.55)
2-2 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.37)
3-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.38%
Southampton
1-2 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.37)
0-1 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.50)
0-2 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.34)
2-3 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.16)
2-4 @ 1.02%
1-4 @ 1% ▼ (-93.90)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25.76%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 38
Southampton
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
4
4
HT : 2 2
FT
Liverpool
  • James Ward-Prowse 19' goal
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 28' goal
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 48' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 64' goal
  • goal Diogo Jota 10'
  • goal Roberto Firmino 14'
  • goal Cody Gakpo 72'
  • goal Diogo Jota 73'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Liverpool
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT
Southampton
  • Roberto Firmino 6' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 21' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 42' goal
  • goal Che Adams 9'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Southampton
May 17, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Liverpool
  • Nathan Redmond 13' goal
  • Nathan Tella 69' yellowcard
  • Jack Stephens 74' yellowcard
  • goal Takumi Minamino 27'
  • goal Joel Matip 67'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Liverpool
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Southampton
  • Diogo Jota 2' goal
  • Diogo Jota 32' goal
  • Thiago Alcantara 37' goal
  • Virgil van Dijk 52' goal
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 11'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Liverpool
May 8, 2021 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Southampton
  • Sadio Mane 31' goal
  • Thiago Alcantara 90' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Redmond 61'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Southampton
Jan 4, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Liverpool
  • Danny Ings 2' goal
  • Ryan Bertrand 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Alcantara 3'
  • yellowcard Andrew Robertson 15'
  • yellowcard Xherdan Shaqiri 79'

Form Data

Chelsea 0 - 1 Liverpool
Liverpool 4 - 1 Luton
Brentford 1 - 4 Liverpool
Liverpool 3 - 1 Burnley
Arsenal 3 - 1 Liverpool
Liverpool 4 - 1 Chelsea
Southampton 1 - 2 Millwall
Southampton 1 - 2 Hull City
West Brom 0 - 2 Southampton
Bristol City 3 - 1 Southampton
Southampton 5 - 3 Huddersfield
Southampton 3 - 0 Watford

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