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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Blackburn

Dozzell (77')
Laird (64'), Dembele (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garrett (49'), Hyam (52'), Tronstad (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
41.62% (-0.239 -0.24)24.15% (0.073 0.07)34.22% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 60.39% (-0.219 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (-0.307 -0.31)42.06% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-0.308 -0.31)64.47% (0.31 0.31)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61% (-0.238 -0.24)20.39% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.18% (-0.38 -0.38)52.81% (0.382 0.38)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)24.14% (0.049000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)58.45% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 41.62%
    Blackburn Rovers 34.22%
    Draw 24.15%
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 7% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.22%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Blackburn

Birmingham City
41.3%
Draw
32.6%
Blackburn Rovers
26.1%
92
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Blackburn
4-2
Birmingham
Szmodics (47', 52'), Hill (59'), Leonard (90+2')
Tronstad (31'), Travis (33'), Wharton (80'), Leonard (87')
Dembele (63', 78')
Aiwu (28'), Bielik (35')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Fourth Round Replays
Birmingham
0-1
Blackburn
Trusty (100' og.)
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Blackburn
2-2
Birmingham
Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Khadra (3')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Blackburn
2-1
Birmingham
Gallagher (17'), Wharton (42')
Hogan (81')