Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Swansea

Latte Lath (45+1', 79')
Ayling (81'), Barlaser (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cooper (78'), Cullen (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Sheff Weds
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Swansea City
49.79% ( 0.01)	23.65% ( 0)	26.56% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.68% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.32% (

-0.02)

43.68% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.93% (

-0.02)

66.07% (

0.01)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35% (

-0.01)

17.65% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.74% (

-0.01)

48.26% (

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.04% (

-0.01)

29.96% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.93% (

-0.02)

66.07% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 49.79%

Swansea City 26.56%

Draw 23.65%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Swansea City
2-1 @ 9.59% 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.75% Total : 49.79%	1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.65%	1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 26.56%