Championship Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • goal Riley McGree 17'
  • yellowcard Jonny Howson 23'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 90'+8'

Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Millwall 1 - 0 Birmingham
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
QPR 0 - 2 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result

Birmingham City 33.48% (-0.01)
Draw 24.59% (-0.02)
Middlesbrough 41.93% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.6% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.69% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 44.31% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 33.31% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 66.69% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 17.02% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.98% (-0.04)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 74.37% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 25.63% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 39.47% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.53% (-0.04)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 78.8% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 21.2% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 45.91% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 54.09% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 33.48%
Draw 24.59%
Middlesbrough 41.93%
Birmingham City
2-1 @ 7.81%
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.54% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 33.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.59%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 8.9% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.13% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 41.93%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Matt Crooks 26' yellowcard
  • Lukas Engel 30' yellowcard
  • Hayden Hackney 58' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 88' goal
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 40'
  • yellowcard John Ruddy 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Manny Longelo 71'
Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Tahith Chong 74' goal
  • goal Matt Crooks 57'
  • goal Matt Crooks 59'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 85'
Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Chuba Akpom 23' goal
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kristian Pedersen 40' yellowcard
  • Onel Hernandez 80' yellowcard
  • Kristian Pedersen 86' redcard
  • goal Aaron Connolly 23'
  • goal Folarin Balogun 62'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 90'
Championship Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Dion Sanderson 19'
  • yellowcard Gary Gardner 45'+1'
  • goal Marc Roberts 53'
  • goal Scott Hogan 56'
  • yellowcard Riley McGree 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 24
Jan 16, 2021 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Anfernee Dijksteel 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Toral 15'
  • goal Scott Hogan 26'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 71'