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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Birmingham logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Birmingham

Tanganga (90')
Leonard (64'), Bryan (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Millwall
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Birmingham City

With both sides painfully aware of how big Saturday's match could be in the fight for survival, we are expecting a hard-fought battle between Millwall and Birmingham. The Lions are enjoying a brilliant run of form under their new management, but we reckon that Blues can earn a point from their trip to the Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
43.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 29.39% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.14% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5% (0.017000000000003 0.02)54.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.85% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)59.14%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.022999999999996 0.02)33.47% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (0.024000000000001 0.02)70.1% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 43.96%
    Birmingham City 29.39%
    Draw 26.64%
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 9.02%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.39%

How you voted: Millwall vs Birmingham

Millwall
53.7%
Draw
19.5%
Birmingham City
26.8%
41
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Birmingham
1-1
Millwall
Stansfield (53')
Bacuna (46')
Nisbet (6')
Harding (57'), Norton-Cuffy (59')
Apr 18, 2023 8pm
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Birmingham
2-2
Millwall
Bacuna (47'), Taylor (79' pen.)
Roberts (52'), Taylor (54'), Sunjic (86'), Bacuna (90')
Burke (68'), Afobe (90+8')
Saville (25'), McNamara (72'), Cooper (74')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Millwall
3-1
Birmingham
Wallace (10'), Bradshaw (41'), Evans (74')
Deeney (56')
Pedersen (20'), Roberts (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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