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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Millwall logo

Blackburn
1 - 1
Millwall

Szmodics (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Obafemi (54')
Tanganga (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 0-0 Millwall

In a game that both teams will be desperate to avoid defeat in, we are expecting a cagey contest on Tuesday night, especially with Harris's Millwall in town. Blackburn have the division's top goalscorer, but we reckon that they will have to settle for another home point under the leadership of Eustace. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
50.29% (0.038000000000004 0.04) 24.1% (0.319 0.32) 25.61% (-0.355 -0.35)
Both teams to score 55.28% (-1.401 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (-1.688 -1.69)46.44% (1.69 1.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (-1.609 -1.61)68.72% (1.61 1.61)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.63 -0.63)18.51% (0.631 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-1.073 -1.07)49.73% (1.074 1.07)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (-1.184 -1.18)32.17% (1.186 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-1.364 -1.36)68.65% (1.365 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.29%
    Millwall 25.61%
    Draw 24.1%
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.504 0.5)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.263 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.76% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 50.29%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.414 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.262 0.26)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Millwall

Blackburn Rovers
50.6%
Draw
24.1%
Millwall
25.3%
87
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Millwall
1-2
Blackburn
Harding (3')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brittain (51')
Dolan (90+3')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Millwall
3-4
Blackburn
Watmore (8', 37'), Burke (39')
Wharton (22'), Rankin-Costello (51'), Brereton Diaz (63', 86')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Cooper (75')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Blackburn
0-0
Millwall
Cooper (41'), Wallace (67'), Saville (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Millwall
1-1
Blackburn
Wallace (64')
Kieftenbeld (60')
Brereton Diaz (76')
Lenihan (52'), Ayala (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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