Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Sheff Weds

Ihiekwe (41' og.), Jones (73')
Greenwood (24')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vaulks (33'), Beadle (40'), Famewo (79'), Iorfa (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Swansea
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
60.95% ( 0.14)	21.68% ( -0.04)	17.37% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 51.22% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.98% (

0.03)

46.02% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.67% (

0.03)

68.32% (

-0.03)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.38% (

0.05)

14.62% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.27% (

0.1)

42.72% (

-0.1)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.98% (

-0.1)

40.01% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.33% (

-0.09)

76.66% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 60.94%

Sheffield Wednesday 17.37%

Draw 21.68%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 60.94%	1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.68%	0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 17.37%