Championship Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Adam Armstrong 12' goal
  • Flynn Downes 34' yellowcard
  • Stuart Armstrong 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 50'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 50'
  • yellowcard Finn Azaz 62'
  • yellowcard Lewis O'Brien 70'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 90'

Southampton vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Southampton 4 - 2 Sunderland
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Adam Armstrong

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 0 - 0 Blackburn
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Southampton 55.31% (+0.01)
Draw 21.23% (-0.01)
Middlesbrough 23.45% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.84% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.63% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 35.36% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 42.61% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 57.39% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 24.27% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 75.72%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 87.15% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 12.84% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 60.8% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 39.2% (-0.01)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 72.1% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 27.9% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 36.48% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.51% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Southampton 55.31%
Draw 21.23%
Middlesbrough 23.45%
Southampton
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 7.55% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.35% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.59%
3-0 @ 5.16% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.38%
4-0 @ 2.65%
4-2 @ 2.16%
5-1 @ 1.39%
5-0 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 55.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.39%
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.58% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.23%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-1 @ 4.57%
0-2 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 23.45%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Riley McGree 44' goal
  • Isaiah Jones 53' yellowcard
  • Hayden Hackney 58' yellowcard
  • Jonny Howson 66' goal
  • Tommy Smith 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Armstrong 17'
  • yellowcard Russell Martin 54'
Premier League
May 13, 2017 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Clayton 66' yellowcard
  • Patrick Bamford 73' goal
  • Ben Gibson 86' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jay Rodriguez 42'
  • goal Nathan Redmond 57'
Premier League
Dec 11, 2016 2.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dusan Tadic 22' yellowcard
  • Sofiane Boufal 45' yellowcard
  • Sofiane Boufal 53' goal
  • Jose Fonte 55' yellowcard
  • Oriol Romeu 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Barragan 17'
  • yellowcard Adam Forshaw 52'
  • yellowcard Adam Clayton 80'
Championship
Apr 21, 2012 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Merouane Zemmama 37' yellowcard
  • Nick Bailey 45' goal
  • Nick Bailey 49' yellowcard
  • Seb Hines 51' yellowcard
  • Merouane Zemmama 77' goal
  • goal Billy Sharp 1'
Championship
Oct 29, 2011 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David Connolly 80' goal
  • yellowcard Barry Robson 43'
Premier League
Mar 20, 2005 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink 41' goal
  • goal Andreas Jakobsson 14'
  • goal Peter Crouch 60'
  • goal Peter Crouch 67'