Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm

4

2

HT : 2 0

FT St. Mary's Stadium

Stuart Armstrong 9'
Adam Armstrong 37'
Joe Rothwell 77'
Joe Rothwell 80'
Joe Aribo 90'
Joe Rothwell 90'+6'

Jenson Seelt 8'
Daniel Ballard 31'
Romaine Mundle 62'
Leo Hjelde 64'
Jobe Bellingham 71'

Southampton vs Sunderland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Southampton vs. Sunderland - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Southampton vs. Sunderland - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 07 Mar 2024 13:30

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

W
L
L
L
W
L

Championship

W
L
L
W
L
W

Last game

Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm

Birmingham 3 - 4 Southampton

Goals scored

91

Top scorer

Adam Armstrong

Sunderland

All competitions

L
L
L
L
L
W

Championship

L
L
L
L
L
W

Last game

Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm

Sunderland 0 - 1 Leicester

Goals scored

52

Top scorer

Jack Clarke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result

Southampton 54.37% ▼ (-0.02)

Draw 22.19% ▲ (+0.01)

Sunderland 23.44% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

59.34% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.05% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 39.95% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 37.69% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 62.31% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 4.5 20.31% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 4.5 79.69% ▲ (+0.02)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 85.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 0.5 14.69% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 57.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 42.86% ▲ (+0.02)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 69.56%

Under 0.5 30.44%

Over 1.5 33.35% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 66.65% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Southampton 54.37%

Draw 22.19%

Sunderland 23.44%

Southampton

2-1 @ 9.78%

1-0 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 8.23%

3-1 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)

4-1 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)

4-0 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)

4-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.01)

5-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 4.09%

Total : 54.37%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.2% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 5.82%

0-0 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)

3-3 @ 1.48%

Other @ 0.23%

Total : 22.19%

Sunderland

1-2 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.01)

0-1 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.93%

Total : 23.44%

Head to Head

Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm

5

0

HT : 3 0

FT Stadium of Light

Jack Clarke 1'
Pierre Ekwah 7'
Abdoullah Ba 39'
Luke O'Nien 42'
Pierre Ekwah 45'
Bradley Dack 48'
Chris Rigg 90'+5'

Sekou Mara 35'
Che Adams 69'

Feb 11, 2017 3.00pm

0

4

HT : 0 2

FT

Wahbi Khazri 94'

Manolo Gabbiadini 30'
Manolo Gabbiadini 45'
Jason Denayer 89' (OG)
Shane Long 92'

Oct 26, 2016 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Olufela Olomola 61'
Sofiane Boufal 66'

Wahbi Khazri 45'
Billy Jones 64'
Didier Ndong 94'

Aug 27, 2016 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Nathan Redmond 29'
Steven Davis 47'
Jay Rodriguez 85'

Steven Pienaar 65'
Jermain Defoe 80'
Jack Rodwell 91'

Mar 5, 2016 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Ryan Bertrand 8'
Virgil van Dijk 31'
Jose Fonte 79'
Virgil van Dijk 93'

Wahbi Khazri 11'
Jermain Defoe 85'

Nov 7, 2015 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Adam Johnson 44'

Sadio Mane 11'
Dusan Tadic 69'
Ryan Bertrand 74'
Graziano Pelle 90'

Form Data

Birmingham 3 - 4 Southampton

Liverpool 3 - 0 Southampton

Southampton 1 - 2 Millwall

Southampton 1 - 2 Hull City

West Brom 0 - 2 Southampton

Bristol City 3 - 1 Southampton

Sunderland 0 - 1 Leicester

Norwich 1 - 0 Sunderland

Sunderland 1 - 2 Swansea

Birmingham 2 - 1 Sunderland

Huddersfield 1 - 0 Sunderland

Sunderland 3 - 1 Plymouth