Championship

Championship | Gameweek 37

Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
4 - 2
Sunderland

Armstrong (9'), Armstrong (37' pen.), Rothwell (77', 80')
Aribo (90'), Rothwell (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mundle (62'), Bellingham (71')
Seelt (8'), Ballard (31'), Hjelde (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Birmingham 3-4 Southampton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Leicester
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Sunderland
54.37% ( -0.01)	22.19% ( 0.01)	23.44% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.34% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.05% (

-0.01)

39.95% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.69% (

-0.01)

62.31% (

0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.31% (

-0.01)

14.69% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.14% (

-0.02)

42.86% (

0.01)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.56%

30.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.35% (

-0)

66.65% (

Score Analysis

Southampton 54.37%

Sunderland 23.44%

Draw 22.19%

Southampton	Draw	Sunderland
2-1 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 54.37%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.19%	1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 23.44%