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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Norwich logo

Preston
0 - 1
Norwich


Whatmough (35'), Storey (72'), Brady (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sara (86')
Sainz (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 4-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-2 Norwich
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-2 Norwich City

On the back of blowing a lead against Sheffield Wednesday, Norwich's confidence has no doubt taken a knock. Nevertheless, we are backing the Canaries to bounce back with their most important win of the season, one that could prove pivotal in the playoff race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawNorwich City
46.57% (-0.226 -0.23) 23.59% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 29.84% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 60.44% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.84% (-0.223 -0.22)41.15% (0.22 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-0.227 -0.23)63.55% (0.225 0.23)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)17.92% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.26% (-0.305 -0.31)48.73% (0.30099999999999 0.3)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)61.5% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 46.57%
    Norwich City 29.84%
    Draw 23.58%
Preston North EndDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 46.57%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 29.84%

How you voted: Preston vs Norwich

Preston North End
21.9%
Draw
28.1%
Norwich City
50.0%
32
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Norwich
0-0
Preston
Evans (76'), Storey (79')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Preston
0-4
Norwich
Pukki (13', 69'), Dowell (16', 28')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Norwich
2-3
Preston
Sargent (2'), Sara (76')
Riis Jakobsen (25', 51'), Parrott (80')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Preston
1-1
Norwich
Potts (90+4')
Ledson (9')
Buendia (17')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Norwich
2-2
Preston
Pukki (31'), Placheta (85')
Quintilla (47')
Sinclair (14' pen.), Fisher (42')
Fisher (34'), Sinclair (82')
rhs 2.0
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