Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
1 - 0
Preston

Stansfield (68')
Laird (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Keane (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 2-1 Birmingham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Preston North End

All competitions

Last Game: Preston 3-0 Rotherham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Preston North End
37.42% ( -0.72)	27.36% ( 0.34)	35.22% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 49.74% (

-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.18% (

-1.3)

55.83% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.05% (

-1.07)

76.95% (

1.08)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2% (

-1.04)

28.8% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.35% (

-1.32)

64.65% (

1.33)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.86% (

-0.4)

30.14% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.71% (

-0.49)

66.29% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 37.41%

Preston North End 35.22%

Draw 27.35%

Birmingham City	Draw	Preston North End
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.41%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.22%