Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • goal Emmanuel Dennis 44'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Chakvetadze 68'
  • yellowcard Yaser Asprilla 88'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bachmann 90'+4'

Birmingham City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Birmingham 0 - 1 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Watford 1 - 2 Coventry
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Mileta Rajovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Watford in this match.

Result

Birmingham City 32.47% (-0.04)
Draw 26.14% (+0.01)
Watford 41.38% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.03% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.61% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.39% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.79% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 73.2% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 12.51% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.48% (+0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 70.28% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.71% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 34.22% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 65.77% (+0.05)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 75.45%
Under 0.5 24.55% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.97%
Under 1.5 59.02% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 32.47%
Draw 26.14%
Watford 41.38%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 8.85% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 32.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.29% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.14%
Watford
0-1 @ 10.24% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.73% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.19% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.37% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 41.38%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Wesley Hoedt 55' yellowcard
  • Mileta Rajovic 90'+1' goal
  • Ryan Andrews 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Cody Drameh 5'
  • yellowcard Lee Buchanan 35'
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 38'
  • yellowcard Jay Stansfield 57'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 60'
  • redcard Lee Buchanan 88'
  • yellowcard Manny Longelo 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Imran Louza 6' goal
  • Keinan Davis 16' goal
  • Britt Assombalonga 74' goal
Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • George Hall 19' goal
  • Dion Sanderson 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hamza Choudhury 45'+3'
  • goal Ken Sema 63'
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ken Sema 4' goal
  • Isaac Success 44' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Chalobah 55' goal
  • Andre Gray 80' goal
  • yellowcard Kristian Pedersen 35'
Championship Gameweek 18
Dec 12, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Maikel Kieftenbeld 15' yellowcard
  • Kristian Pedersen 57' yellowcard
  • Kristian Pedersen 84' redcard
  • goal Troy Deeney 85'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 90'+1'
Championship
Apr 18, 2015 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Craig Cathcart 56' goal
  • Craig Cathcart 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Grounds 58'