Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Koln in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Koln.