Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 34

May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
4 - 1
FC Koln

Dinkci (16', 22'), Sessa (36'), Beste (78')
Kleindienst (76')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Tigges (64')
Kainz (30'), Hubers (52'), Maina (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	FC Koln
41.18% ( -1.88)	23.49% ( 0.43)	35.33% ( 1.44)

Both teams to score 63.14% (

-1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.42% (

-1.77)

38.58% (

1.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.12% (

-1.9)

60.87% (

1.89)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

-1.52)

19.12% (

1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.24% (

-2.58)

50.76% (

2.57)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.07% (

-0.06)

21.92% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.8% (

-0.09)

55.19% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 41.18%

FC Koln 35.33%

Draw 23.48%

Heidenheim	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.4% Total : 41.18%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.48%	1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.33%