Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Heidenheim
May 5, 2024 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Voith-Arena
Mainz
  • Benedikt Gimber 35' yellowcard
  • Tim Kleindienst 65' goal
  • Tim Kleindienst 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 27'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 37'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Burkardt 69'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 84'

Heidenheim vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last game
Apr 28, 2024 6.30pm
Darmstadt 0 - 1 Heidenheim
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Tim Kleindienst

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Apr 28, 2024 4.30pm
Mainz 1 - 1 FC Koln
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

Heidenheim 41.73% ▼ (-0.49)
Draw 23.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Mainz 05 34.34% ▲ (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.24% ▲ (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.04% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 40.96% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 36.64% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 63.35% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 4.5 19.51% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 4.5 80.49% ▼ (-0.12)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5 80.12% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 0.5 19.88% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 1.5 48% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 52% ▲ (+0.25)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 76.44% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 0.5 23.56% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 1.5 42.38% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 1.5 57.61% ▼ (-0.50)

Score analysis

Heidenheim 41.73%
Draw 23.92%
Mainz 05 34.34%
Heidenheim
2-1 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 41.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.92%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.34%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Mainz
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
Heidenheim
  • Tom Krauss 38' yellowcard
  • Ludovic Ajorque 44' yellowcard
  • Brajan Gruda 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Pieringer 12'
  • yellowcard Benedikt Gimber 30'
  • yellowcard Marnon Busch 34'
  • yellowcard Jan-Niklas Beste 57'

Form Data

Darmstadt 0 - 1 Heidenheim
Heidenheim 1 - 2 RB Leipzig
VfL Bochum 1 - 1 Heidenheim
Heidenheim 3 - 2 Bayern
Stuttgart 3 - 3 Heidenheim
Heidenheim 1 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Mainz 1 - 1 FC Koln
Freiburg 1 - 1 Mainz
Mainz 4 - 1 Hoffenheim
Mainz 4 - 0 Darmstadt
RB Leipzig 0 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 0 VfL Bochum