Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

May 5, 2024 at 6.30pm UK

Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
1 - 1
Mainz

Kleindienst (65')
Gimber (35'), Kleindienst (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Burkardt (37')
Barreiro (27'), Burkardt (69'), Kohr (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Darmstadt 0-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, April 28 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, April 28 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	Mainz 05
41.73% ( -0.49)	23.93% ( -0)	34.34% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 61.24% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.04% (

0.15)

40.96% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.64% (

0.15)

63.35% (

-0.15)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12% (

-0.15)

19.88% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48% (

-0.25)

52% (

0.25)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.44% (

0.35)

23.56% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.38% (

0.5)

57.61% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 41.73%

Mainz 05 34.34%

Draw 23.92%

Heidenheim	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 41.73%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.92%	1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.34%