MX23RW : Thursday, May 30 18:27:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Mainz
4 - 1
Hoffenheim

Burkardt (47'), Mwene (51'), Gruda (63'), Onisiwo (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kaderabek (19')
Promel (39'), Kabak (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 4-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Augsburg
Sunday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-2 Hoffenheim

While Mainz have struggled for consistency for the majority of the season, they are unbeaten at home under Bo Henriksen and won their last two games without conceding. Matches involving these two sides have not been short of goals of late and we are expecting another high-scoring encounter here, though we feel that there will be nothing to split them at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawHoffenheim
62.43% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 20.17%17.39% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.8% (0.033999999999999 0.03)39.19% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.47% (0.035000000000004 0.04)61.52% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.5% (0.007000000000005 0.01)37.49% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1% (0.045000000000002 0.05)35.89% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33% (0.046000000000003 0.05)72.67% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 62.43%
    Hoffenheim 17.39%
    Draw 20.17%
Mainz 05DrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 9.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.62% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 62.43%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.17%
1-2 @ 4.8% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.27% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 17.39%

How you voted: Mainz vs Hoffenheim

Mainz 05
48.3%
Draw
27.6%
Hoffenheim
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hoffenheim
1-1
Mainz
Skov (48')
Kramaric (25'), Brooks (30'), Kabak (32'), Promel (44')
Richter (39')
Fernandes (25'), Caci (29'), Richter (68'), Mwene (90+1')
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
4-1
Mainz
Kramaric (53'), Promel (69'), Dabour (80'), Kaderabek (90+2')
Kohr (83')
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Mainz
2-0
Hoffenheim
Jae-sung (79'), Niakhate (83' pen.)

Hubner (17'), Rutter (74')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Hoffenheim
0-2
Mainz

Gacinovic (39'), Vogt (70')
Burkardt (21'), Ingvartsen (77')
Hack (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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