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Bundesliga

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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
VfL Bochum

Mainz
2 - 0
VfL Bochum

Burkardt (45+3' pen., 71')
Kohr (1'), Ajorque (8'), van den Berg (84'), Amiri (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bernardo (33'), Osterhage (47'), Schlotterbeck (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Bayern 8-1 Mainz
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-2 Freiburg
Sunday, March 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
59.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.52% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)17.95%
Both teams to score 49.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.23% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (0.00099999999999056 0)15.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)40.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.55%77.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 59.51%
    VfL Bochum 17.95%
    Draw 22.52%
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 9.83%
3-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-2 @ 1.23%
5-0 @ 1.13%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 59.51%
1-1 @ 10.71%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.84%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 2.61%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 17.95%

How you voted: Mainz vs VfL Bochum

Mainz 05
43.8%
Draw
40.6%
VfL Bochum
15.6%
32
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2023 7.30pm
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2-2
Mainz
Stoger (21' pen.), Schlotterbeck (82')
Bernardo (51'), Paciencia (88'), Losilla (90+5')
Schlotterbeck (59' og.), Krauss (90+6')
Barreiro (15'), Kohr (20'), Jae-sung (71')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
5-2
VfL Bochum
Jae-sung (1'), Widmer (17'), Onisiwo (28', 57', 87')
Kunde (70'), Masovic (72')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
VfL Bochum
1-2
Mainz
Stoger (39')
Stafylidis (13'), Ganvoula (90+3')
Onisiwo (26', 77')
Stach (33'), Bell (64'), Burgzorg (84')
> Preview
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
VfL Bochum
3-1
Mainz
Pantovic (56' pen., 59'), Lowen (80')
Onisiwo (36')
Jae-sung (14'), Barreiro (55'), Bell (65'), Stach (75')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Mainz
1-0
VfL Bochum
St Juste (48')
Stach (55'), Stoger (85'), Nebel (86'), Svensson (88')

Bella-Kotchap (70'), Gamboa (76'), Rexhbecaj (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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