/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F02%2Fdarlog.png)
-
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
32'
-
Dominik Kohr
51'
-
Brajan Gruda
60'
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Brajan Gruda
74'
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Brajan Gruda
75'
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Lee Jae-sung
80'
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Lee Jae-sung
84'
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Torsten Lieberknecht
35'
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Thomas Isherwood
39'
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Tim Skarke
52'
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Alexander Brunst
56'
Mainz 05 vs SV Darmstadt 98 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F08%2Fmainz-05.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result
Mainz 05
58.66%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
22.37%
▲
(+0.01)
SV Darmstadt 98
18.98%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
52.02%
▼
(-0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.53%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
46.47%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
31.25%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 3.5
68.75%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
15.55%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
84.45%
▲
(+0.09)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
84.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
15.51%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
55.58%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
44.41%
▲
(+0.04)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5
61.57%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
38.43%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
24.82%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
75.18%
▲
(+0.15)
Score analysis
Mainz 05
58.65%
Draw
22.36%
SV Darmstadt 98
18.98%
Mainz 05
1-0
@
11.1%
▲
(+0.05)
2-0 @ 10.35% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 58.65%
2-0 @ 10.35% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 58.65%
Draw
1-1
@
10.62%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 22.36%
0-0 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 22.36%
SV Darmstadt 98
0-1
@
5.7%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.98%
1-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.98%
