Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 21, 2024 at 6.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 1
Mainz

Gregoritsch (6')
Kubler (31'), Hofler (42'), Holer (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Burkardt (40')
Jae-sung (35'), Krauss (62'), Caci (71'), van den Berg (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Darmstadt 0-1 Freiburg
Sunday, April 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 4-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Mainz 05
52.01% ( 1.81)	22.12% ( 0.05)	25.87% ( -1.87)

Both teams to score 62.44% (

-1.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.9% (

-1.87)

37.1% (

1.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.7% (

-2.05)

59.29% (

2.04)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.54% (

-0.07)

14.46% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.57% (

-0.13)

42.43% (

0.13)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

-2.27)

27% (

2.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.65% (

-3.08)

62.35% (

3.07)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 52.01%

Mainz 05 25.87%

Draw 22.12%

Freiburg	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.65) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.35% Total : 52.01%	1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.12%	1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.17) Other @ 3% Total : 25.87%