Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 6, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 4
RB Leipzig

Grifo (59')
Holer (64'), Sallai (90+2'), Sallai (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Haidara (2'), Openda (18', 44'), Sesko (54')
Schlager (64'), Raum (68'), Orban (73'), Henrichs (75'), Doan (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-3 Freiburg
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Mainz
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	RB Leipzig
31.91% ( 0.13)	22.67% ( -0.01)	45.42% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 65.03% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.38% (

0.12)

35.62% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.32% (

0.13)

57.67% (

-0.12)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.61% (

0.13)

22.38% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.11% (

0.19)

55.89% (

-0.19)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.79% (

16.21% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.29% (

45.71% (

Score Analysis

Freiburg 31.91%

RB Leipzig 45.42%

Draw 22.67%

Freiburg	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 31.91%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.67%	1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 45.42%