Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 35.93%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 35.04% ( | 29.03% ( | 35.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.07% ( | 61.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.32% ( | 81.68% ( |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( | 33.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.01% ( | 70% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.22% ( | 32.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.65% ( | 69.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 3-1 @ 2.69% ( 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 3-2 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 10.94% ( 2-2 @ 4.1% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.03% | 0-1 @ 12.2% ( 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 2-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.93% |