Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 18, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Estoril

Andres Ramirez (32')
Villanueva (10'), Borevkovic (26')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Begraoui (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 FC Zurich
Thursday, August 15 at 8.15pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 1-4 Santa Clara
Sunday, August 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Estoril Praia
61.42% ( 0.14)	22.33% ( 0.02)	16.24% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 46.92% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.42% (

-0.36)

50.58% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.5% (

-0.32)

72.5% (

0.32)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84% (

-0.08)

16% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.69% (

-0.14)

45.31% (

0.14)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.86% (

-0.43)

44.14% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.76% (

-0.36)

80.24% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 61.42%

Estoril Praia 16.24%

Draw 22.33%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 61.42%	1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.33%	0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.24%