Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 12, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
0 - 1
Guimaraes

Weverson (22'), Trezza (43'), Rocha (47'), Simao (62'), Araujo (75'), Jason (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Oliveira (14')
Gaspar (48'), Silva (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Viseu
Saturday, August 3 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: FC Zurich 0-3 Guimaraes
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
28.57% ( -0.87)	25.38% ( -0.15)	46.05% ( 1.02)

Both teams to score 53.54% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.15% (

0.17)

49.85% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.16% (

0.16)

71.84% (

-0.16)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.34% (

-0.55)

31.66% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.92% (

-0.63)

68.08% (

0.63)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

0.54)

21.65% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.23% (

0.81)

54.77% (

-0.81)

Score Analysis

Arouca 28.57%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 46.04%

Draw 25.38%

Arouca	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.57%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.04%