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UEFA Conference League

FC Zurich
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadion Letzigrund
Vitoria de Guimaraes

FC Zurich
0 - 3
Guimaraes


Katic (38'), Kryeziu (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mangas (54'), Gomez (88' og.), Oliveira (90+3')
Borevkovic (63'), Charles (90+4'), Silva (90+4')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between FC Zurich and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Zurich

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Young Boys 2-2 FC Zurich
Sunday, August 4 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Guimaraes 4-0 Floriana
Thursday, August 1 at 8.15pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
FC ZurichDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
46.91% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)25.33% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)27.76% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.13% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.88% (0.17 0.17)50.11% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92% (0.152 0.15)72.08% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (0.061999999999998 0.06)21.37% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64% (0.099000000000004 0.1)54.35% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58% (0.12599999999999 0.13)32.42% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.06% (0.144 0.14)68.93% (-0.142 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    FC Zurich 46.91%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 27.76%
    Draw 25.33%
FC ZurichDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.25% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 46.91%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4%
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 27.76%

How you voted: FC Zurich vs Guimaraes

FC Zurich
47.6%
Draw
31.0%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
21.4%
42