Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.