Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.72%) and 3-1 (6.6%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.