Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.