Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.