Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Servette had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.