Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 68.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 14.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.62%), while for a Yverdon Sport win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.