Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Basel had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lausanne Sport would win this match.