Feb 3, 2024 7.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT St. Jakob-Park

Nicolas Vouilloz 64'

Renato Steffen 69'
Milton Valenzuela 72'
Uran Bislimi 81'
Zan Celar 89'

Basel vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions

W
W
D
D
W
L

Swiss Super League

W
W
D
W
L
W

Last game

Jan 30, 2024 7.30pm

Winterthur 1 - 3 Basel

Goals scored

45

Top scorer

Thiemo Barry

Lugano

All competitions

D
W
L
D
L
W

Swiss Super League

D
W
L
D
W
L

Last game

Jan 31, 2024 7.30pm

Lugano 0 - 0 Grasshopper

Goals scored

67

Top scorer

Zan Celar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Basel 40.95% ▲ (+1.78)

Draw 23.02% ▼ (-0.16)

Lugano 36.03% ▼ (-1.62)

Both Teams to Score:

65.06% ▲ (+0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.86% ▲ (+0.60)

Under 2.5 36.14% ▼ (-0.61)

Over 3.5 41.75% ▲ (+0.66)

Under 3.5 58.25% ▼ (-0.66)

Over 4.5 23.56% ▲ (+0.54)

Under 4.5 76.43% ▼ (-0.54)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5 81.79% ▲ (+1.03)

Under 0.5 18.2% ▼ (-1.04)

Over 1.5 50.78% ▲ (+1.73)

Under 1.5 49.21% ▼ (-1.73)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 79.54% ▼ (-0.52)

Under 0.5 20.46% ▲ (+0.52)

Over 1.5 47.08% ▼ (-0.83)

Under 1.5 52.92% ▲ (+0.83)

Score analysis

Basel 40.95%

Draw 23.02%

Lugano 36.03%

Basel

2-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.18)

1-0 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.03)

2-0 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.20)

3-1 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.26)

3-2 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.15)

3-0 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.21)

4-1 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.18)

4-2 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.12)

4-0 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.13)

Other @ 3.8%

Total : 40.95%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.06% ▼ (-0.13)

2-2 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.03)

0-0 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.12)

3-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 0.39%

Total : 23.02%

Lugano

1-2 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.24)

0-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.28)

0-2 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.30)

1-3 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.20)

2-3 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.05)

0-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.21)

1-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.11)

2-4 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.05)

Other @ 4.04%

Total : 36.03%

Head to Head

Dec 6, 2023 7.30pm

1

3

HT : 0 1

FT Stadio di Cornaredo

Roman Macek 25'
Renato Steffen 49'
Roman Macek 54'
Shkelqim Vladi 77'
Amir Saipi 89'

Dominik Schmid 18'
Kevin Ruegg 21'
Jonathan Dubasin 29'
Dorde Jovanovic 61'
Mirko Salvi 86'
Renato Veiga 89'
Leon Avdullahu 89'
Leon Avdullahu 89'
Romeo Beney 90'+2'

May 21, 2023 3.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Andi Zeqiri 34'

Renato Steffen 84'

Feb 26, 2023 3.30pm

2

2

HT : 2 0

FT

Zan Celar 33'
Ignacio Aliseda 38'

Darian Males 74'
Michael Lang 83'

Oct 9, 2022 3.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Hicham Mahou 33'

Aug 14, 2022 3.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Taulant Xhaka 32'

Allan Arigoni 4'
Fabio Daprela 42'
Milton Valenzuela 87'
Boris Babic 90'+1'
Amir Saipi 90'+2'
Hadj Mahmoud 90'+4'

May 22, 2022 3.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Darian Males 6'
Dan Ndoye 30'
Strahinja Pavlovic 34'
Pajtim Kasami 71'
Pajtim Kasami 72'
Pajtim Kasami 74'

Mohamed El Amine Amoura 27'
Kevin Ruegg 59'
Hadj Mahmoud 62'
Hadj Mahmoud 90'+2'

Form Data

Winterthur 1 - 3 Basel

Basel 1 - 0 Young Boys

FC Zurich 0 - 0 Basel

Basel 1 - 1 Bayern

Luzern 0 - 1 Basel

Basel 0 - 1 Grasshopper

Lugano 0 - 0 Grasshopper

St Gallen 1 - 4 Lugano

Lugano 2 - 3 SLO

Servette 2 - 2 Lugano

Lugano 0 - 2 Besiktas

Lugano 2 - 1 Winterthur