Swiss Super League | Gameweek 22

Feb 3, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

St. Jakob-Park

Basel
0 - 1
Lugano

Vouilloz (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Steffen (69')
Valenzuela (72'), Bislimi (81'), Celar (89')

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: Winterthur 1-3 Basel
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lugano

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: Lugano 0-0 Grasshopper
Wednesday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Basel	Draw	Lugano
40.95% ( 1.77)	23.02% ( -0.15)	36.03% ( -1.62)

Both teams to score 65.06% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.86% (

0.6)

36.14% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.75% (

0.65)

58.25% (

-0.65)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.79% (

1.03)

18.2% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.78% (

1.73)

49.21% (

-1.73)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54% (

-0.52)

20.46% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.08% (

-0.83)

52.92% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

Basel 40.95%

Lugano 36.03%

Draw 23.02%

Basel	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.8% Total : 40.95%	1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.02%	1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.03%