Swiss Super League | Gameweek 18

Dec 17, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

swissporarena

Luzern
0 - 1
Basel

Meyer (34'), Dorn (69'), Villiger (88'), Frydek Jr (90+3'), Jaquez (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dubasin (66')
Avdullahu (89'), Barry (90+3')

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luzern

All competitions

Last Game: FC Zurich 1-1 Luzern
Sunday, December 10 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Basel

All competitions

Last Game: Basel 0-1 Grasshopper
Saturday, December 9 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Basel had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Luzern	Draw	Basel
47.71% ( 0.74)	22.81% ( -0.13)	29.48% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 63.01% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.33% (

0.24)

37.67% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.09% (

0.26)

59.91% (

-0.26)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.84% (

0.36)

16.15% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.39% (

0.66)

45.6% (

-0.67)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.15% (

-0.26)

24.85% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.55% (

-0.36)

59.44% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Luzern 47.71%

Basel 29.48%

Draw 22.8%

Luzern	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.66% Total : 47.71%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.8%	1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.48%