Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.57%) and 1-3 (5.55%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	Draw	Basel
32.9% ( 0.01)	21.89% ( -0)	45.2% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 68.46% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.67% (

31.32% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.23% (

52.77% (

-0.01)

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.2% (

19.8% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.13% (

0.01)

51.86% (

-0.02)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.36% (

-0)

14.63% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.24% (

-0)

42.75% (

Score Analysis

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 32.9%

Basel 45.2%

Draw 21.89%

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.69% 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.9%	1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.02% 0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.89%	1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.5% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.17% 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 45.2%