Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Servette had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.