Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.