Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Floriana had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Floriana win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Floriana
59.33% ( 0.08)	22.47% ( 0.04)	18.21% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 50.34% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.98% (

-0.34)

48.02% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.81% (

-0.32)

70.19% (

0.31)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.18% (

-0.09)

15.82% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.01% (

-0.16)

44.99% (

0.16)

Floriana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.8% (

-0.34)

40.2% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.16% (

-0.31)

76.84% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 59.32%

Floriana 18.21%

Draw 22.46%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Floriana
1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 59.32%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.46%	0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.21%