Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Floriana win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Floriana win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Petrocub Hincesti win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.