Conference League
Jul 25, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gozo Stadium
  • Fernando Augusto Rodrigues de Araujo 44' yellowcard
  • Carlo Zammit Lonardelli 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nelson Oliveira 38'
  • yellowcard Jota Silva 57'
  • goal Jota Silva 78'

Floriana vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Floriana

All competitions

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Floriana had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Floriana win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result

Floriana 35.09% (-0.09)
Draw 24.98% (-0.04)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 39.93% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.64% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.27% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 45.73% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 31.95% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 68.05% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 16.04% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 83.96% (-0.11)

Floriana Goals

Over 0.5 74.64% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 25.36% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 39.84% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.16% (-0.04)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 77.22% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 22.78% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 43.52% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 56.48% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Floriana 35.09%
Draw 24.97%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 39.93%
Floriana
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.44% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 35.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.97%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-2 @ 8.67% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.55% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.32% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.28% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.93% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.58% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.93%