Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 19, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
0 - 3
Famalicao

Keliano (26'), Kikas (64'), Veiga (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vinicios (36'), Youssouf (83'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Evangelista (27'), Zlobin (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, August 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 2-0 Benfica
Sunday, August 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Famalicao
35.7% ( 0.03)	27.27% ( 0.18)	37.04% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 50.06% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.56% (

-0.7)

55.44% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.37% (

-0.58)

76.63% (

0.58)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.34% (

-0.33)

29.66% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.3% (

-0.4)

65.7% (

0.4)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.16% (

-0.46)

28.84% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.3% (

-0.58)

64.7% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 35.69%

Famalicao 37.03%

Draw 27.26%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.69%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.03%