Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Complexo Desportivo FC Famalicao - Campo 2

Famalicao vs Penafiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 20, 2024 10.00am
Famalicao 1 - 1 Leixoes

Penafiel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 20, 2024 11.00am
Penafiel 1 - 3 Santa Clara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Penafiel had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Penafiel win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result

Famalicao 59.83% (-0.14)
Draw 22.97% (+0.03)
Penafiel 17.19% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.95% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.43% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.56% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 26.64% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 73.36% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.41% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.59% (-0.03)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5 83.12% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 16.88% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 53.09% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 46.91% (+0.06)

Penafiel Goals

Over 0.5 56.48% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 43.51% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 20.28% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 79.72% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Famalicao 59.82%
Draw 22.97%
Penafiel 17.19%
Famalicao
1-0 @ 13.06% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.62% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.89% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 59.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 22.97%
Penafiel
0-1 @ 6.11% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.52% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.54% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 17.19%

Head to Head

Taca da Liga
Sep 22, 2021 9.15pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
  • David Tavares 23' yellowcard
  • Ivo Rodrigues 35' goal
  • Adrian Marin 37' yellowcard
  • Simon Banza 57' goal
  • Pedro Marques 69' goal
  • Bruno Rodrigues 73' goal
  • Pedro Marques 89' goal
  • yellowcard Ronaldo Tavares 42'
  • redcard Leandro Teixeira 59'
  • yellowcard David Caiado 71'
  • yellowcard Rui Pedro 79'
  • yellowcard Joao Amorim 83'
  • yellowcard Simaozinho 87'